According to The Kobeissi Letter, this week features several high-impact economic events including the market's reaction to US strikes on Iran, May existing home sales data, CB Consumer Confidence for June, speeches by Fed Chair Powell, US Q1 2025 GDP data, and May PCE inflation figures. Traders should monitor heightened volatility across both traditional and cryptocurrency markets, especially BTC and ETH, as geopolitical tensions and US economic indicators are likely to influence risk sentiment, liquidity, and price action. Source: The Kobeissi Letter (Twitter, June 22, 2025).

According to The Kobeissi Letter, US retail sales declined by 0.9% in May 2025, marking the second-largest decrease since March 2023 and the second consecutive monthly drop. The decline was broad-based, with 7 of 13 categories falling, notably in building materials, gasoline, and motor vehicles. For cryptocurrency traders, this weakening in consumer spending signals potential downward pressure on risk assets, including Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH), as macroeconomic uncertainty may curb speculative inflows. Investors should monitor crypto price reactions to continued economic softness, as further declines could increase volatility and shift capital flows into defensive assets. (Source: The Kobeissi Letter, Twitter, June 18, 2025)

According to Compounding Quality, the latest annual GDP growth figures reveal shifting economic conditions that could influence cryptocurrency market sentiment and trading strategies. The data, shared on June 16, 2025, highlights changing dynamics in major economies, which traders often watch for signals of risk appetite and liquidity flows into assets like BTC and ETH. Historically, strong GDP growth has correlated with increased investor confidence and potential inflows into high-risk assets, including cryptocurrencies. Conversely, slower GDP expansion can lead to risk-off sentiment, impacting price volatility and trading volumes across digital asset markets (source: Compounding Quality, Twitter).

According to André Dragosch, PhD (@Andre_Dragosch), recent data shows a strong correlation between construction spending and construction payrolls, which historically lead overall payroll trends (source: Twitter, June 12, 2025). For crypto traders, this relationship is significant because shifts in payroll data can influence broader economic sentiment and risk appetite, often impacting Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) prices. Monitoring construction spending and payrolls can help anticipate potential macroeconomic shifts that affect crypto inflows and market volatility.

According to The White House on Twitter, the passage of the One Big Beautiful Bill expands access to childcare for American families (Source: @WhiteHouse, June 10, 2025). This legislative development is seen as a positive macroeconomic signal, supporting increased workforce participation and consumer spending. For crypto traders, enhanced economic stability and higher discretionary income may boost retail investment in digital assets, potentially increasing Bitcoin and Ethereum trading volumes. Market participants should monitor upcoming economic indicators for further confirmation of this trend.

According to Material Indicators (@MI_Algos), the upcoming release of the Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) and Unemployment Rate (UNRATE) reports in less than an hour is expected to trigger significant volatility in both traditional and cryptocurrency markets. Historically, major U.S. economic indicators like NFP and UNRATE have led to rapid price movements for Bitcoin and leading altcoins, as traders react to insights on labor market strength and potential Federal Reserve policy shifts (source: @MI_Algos, June 6, 2025). Crypto traders should closely monitor these reports for immediate trading opportunities and risk management, as increased volatility often leads to liquidity spikes and enhanced price action across spot and derivatives markets.

According to Evan (@StockMKTNewz), the latest US JOLTS Job Openings report recorded 7.391 million openings, surpassing the forecast of 7.110 million as reported on June 3, 2025 (source: https://twitter.com/StockMKTNewz/status/1929901070546809313). This stronger-than-expected labor market data signals persistent economic resilience, reducing the likelihood of imminent Federal Reserve rate cuts. For cryptocurrency traders, this may result in short-term downward pressure on Bitcoin and altcoins, as a robust job market can strengthen the US dollar and dampen risk appetite across crypto markets. Monitoring macroeconomic indicators like JOLTS is increasingly critical for crypto market participants seeking to anticipate volatility.

According to Michaël van de Poppe (@CryptoMichNL), Ethereum (ETH) price action is closely tied to upcoming macroeconomic data releases this week, which could significantly impact ETH's short-term trend. As long as ETH maintains its current support levels, traders may expect price continuation, but increased volatility is likely as key economic indicators are published. Monitoring major macro events and ETH's technical support zones is crucial for traders seeking optimal entry and exit points. Source: Twitter (@CryptoMichNL, June 2, 2025).

According to Compounding Quality (@QCompounding), the latest 'Macroeconomics Cheat Sheet' outlines key economic indicators such as GDP growth, inflation, unemployment rates, and interest rates, which traders should monitor for optimal crypto market timing. The cheat sheet emphasizes how changes in macroeconomic data like central bank policy decisions and inflation reports can trigger volatility in Bitcoin and altcoin prices. By understanding the direct relationship between macroeconomic trends and digital asset price movements, traders can better anticipate market shifts and adjust risk management strategies accordingly (Source: @QCompounding Twitter, May 24, 2025).

According to Crypto Rover, US Producer Price Index (PPI) data and jobless claims are set to be released in two hours, which is expected to trigger significant volatility in the cryptocurrency market (source: @rovercrc, Twitter, May 15, 2025). Traders should closely monitor price action around the release time, as economic indicators like PPI and jobless claims historically impact Bitcoin and altcoin price trends due to their influence on Federal Reserve monetary policy and risk sentiment. Increased volatility may present both short-term trading opportunities and risks in the crypto market.

According to Stock Talk (@stocktalkweekly), Treasury Secretary Bessent stated that current economic data does not indicate a recession, highlighting that the latest jobs report exceeded expectations. This positive labor market data may reduce fears of an economic downturn, supporting risk-on sentiment in both traditional and cryptocurrency markets. Traders should note that strong job growth historically correlates with increased investor confidence and liquidity flows into digital assets, potentially driving short-term bullish momentum in cryptocurrencies. Source: Stock Talk (@stocktalkweekly), May 6, 2025.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, the US CapEx intentions indicator fell to -1.5 points in April, the lowest level since 2020, as reported by BCA Research. The indicator, which aggregates data from the NFIB small business survey and various Fed regional surveys, signals a significant decline in business investment expectations. Historically, such a low reading has preceded periods of reduced economic activity, which could influence trading strategies in both equity and cryptocurrency markets by increasing risk-off sentiment and volatility. Source: The Kobeissi Letter on Twitter, April 29, 2025.

According to The Kobeissi Letter on Twitter, Q1 2025 US GDP growth expectations on the prediction market Kalshi have officially turned negative, now at -0.4%. This signals the possibility of the first US GDP contraction since Q2 2022, which could drive increased volatility in equities, forex, and crypto markets as traders adjust to recession risk (Source: @KobeissiLetter via Twitter, April 29, 2025). Monitoring economic indicators and risk assets is crucial for trading strategies amid this macroeconomic shift.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, US existing home sales dropped by 5.9% month-over-month in March 2025, reaching an annualized rate of 4.02 million, the weakest March figure since 2009 and the largest monthly decline since November 2022 (source: The Kobeissi Letter on Twitter, April 27, 2025). This sharper-than-expected downturn signals growing economic headwinds, which could prompt traders to anticipate increased volatility in both equity and crypto markets as risk sentiment deteriorates and expectations for Federal Reserve policy shifts intensify.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, the NY Empire State Manufacturing Index reported a significant drop to -8.1 points in April, marking the third negative reading this year. This decline, coupled with a 6-month outlook for general business conditions hitting a 24-year low at -7.4, could signal potential volatility in cryptocurrency markets as traders reassess risk exposure.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, the S&P 500 experienced a dramatic drop, decreasing from over +180 points to just +70 points within an hour. This volatility highlights the risk and unpredictability currently present in the market. Traders should consider employing hedging strategies and monitoring key economic indicators closely to mitigate risks.

According to André Dragosch, PhD, gold appears to be significantly overvalued at present. For traders, this indicates potential short-selling opportunities or a reevaluation of gold holdings in diversified portfolios. The assertion suggests that market sentiment may not align with the current valuation, prompting a need for careful market analysis and strategy adjustment. Traders should monitor economic indicators and geopolitical factors that could influence gold prices.

According to Milk Road, despite the complexity of the recent CPI report, the decision to invest more in cryptocurrencies was made. This highlights a trend among traders who focus on long-term gains despite short-term economic indicators. The report, often a trigger for market volatility, did not deter confidence in the crypto market, suggesting a potential trend for increased crypto buying during uncertain economic times.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, Nasdaq futures have extended their losses to over -1.6%, while the S&P 500 futures have declined by 250 points from last week’s high. This downturn is attributed to several macroeconomic factors affecting market sentiment, including inflation concerns and interest rate hikes. Traders should closely monitor economic indicators and central bank announcements, as these will likely influence future market movements.

According to [Twitter Name], the cryptocurrency market is poised for potential volatility as traders anticipate key economic indicators ahead of Easter. The market's focus is on upcoming data releases that could influence Bitcoin and Ethereum prices. Traders are advised to monitor these indicators closely for strategic decision-making. [Source: Twitter]